Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 142.857070 165.270740 191.293855 224.044100 264.592673 313.728728 3.786790e+02
2025-05-25 112.601908 140.395526 176.145586 226.632333 298.028507 398.575072 5.571580e+02
2025-06-01 95.023159 124.268146 164.482367 225.917726 321.496549 472.425545 7.475936e+02
2025-06-08 82.364149 111.552110 153.736837 222.204511 337.174120 537.004677 9.515994e+02
2025-06-15 75.973638 106.301206 152.237860 231.295762 374.592632 649.931519 1.309435e+03
2025-06-22 66.734788 95.351038 140.038938 220.006610 372.736546 687.874042 1.528775e+03
2025-06-29 61.104813 89.169761 134.378204 218.610962 388.658321 767.995432 1.914389e+03
2025-07-06 56.567401 84.131058 129.800021 218.123710 406.024783 858.402661 2.413308e+03
2025-07-13 54.885864 83.509026 132.576039 231.933528 457.789761 1058.824308 3.534504e+03
2025-07-20 53.795851 83.708335 136.754906 249.310992 523.563652 1338.073016 5.503827e+03
2025-07-27 50.896562 80.431509 134.058506 251.673883 553.076464 1525.815177 7.474417e+03
2025-08-03 48.710353 78.188259 133.010884 257.426506 593.690137 1782.472663 1.078094e+04
2025-08-10 45.313894 73.702877 127.588994 253.538719 610.316355 1981.395534 1.484014e+04
2025-08-17 42.882336 70.815543 125.105249 256.472833 650.204285 2329.839076 2.357759e+04
2025-08-24 40.386730 67.548007 121.400264 255.628884 678.299246 2661.799864 3.690541e+04
2025-08-31 37.873046 64.007475 116.682095 251.261698 693.219586 2949.707824 5.623287e+04
2025-09-07 36.780337 63.131894 117.566494 261.960563 768.123610 3732.872867 1.332373e+05
2025-09-14 34.048414 58.760731 110.252903 248.678541 745.546178 3810.883044 1.806689e+05
2025-09-21 32.378141 56.403004 107.217482 247.038955 770.369111 4319.511964 3.776512e+05
2025-09-28 30.925061 54.371208 104.703214 246.466667 800.223227 4953.688764 1.012181e+06
2025-10-05 30.607177 54.651288 107.575719 262.711947 915.873997 6827.566836 2.632012e+07
2025-10-12 30.479411 55.314257 111.447552 283.226691 1069.536390 10016.991452 NaN
2025-10-19 29.411703 53.867791 109.983319 286.022243 1132.810906 12294.343875 NaN